A Method for self controlled early detection and prediction of a performance shortage of an application is described comprises the steps of monitoring at least one performance parameter of the application, storing performance data including a time dependency of said performance parameter, using said performance data to compute a mathematic function describing a time dependent development of said performance parameter, using said mathematical function to compute a point in time when the performance parameter exceeds a certain threshold, and generating and outputting a prediction comprising information that a performance shortage of the application is expected at said computed point in time, if said point in time lies within a settable timeframe.