A method and system is provided for calculating importance of documents based on transition probabilities from a source document to a target document based on looking ahead to information content of target documents of the source document. A look-ahead importance system generates transition probabilities of transitioning between any pair of source and target documents based on analysis of links to target documents of the source document. The system may calculate the transition probabilities based on the number of links on documents a look-ahead distance away. The system then solves for the stationary probabilities of the transition probabilities. The stationary probabilities represent the importance of the documents.